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Contract analysis / draft-keating-damages-report.docx
draft-keating-damages-report.docx
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I. INTRODUCTION AND QUALIFICATIONS
I. INTRODUCTION AND QUALIFICATIONS A. Purpose and Scope of Report
1. I, Dr. Lawrence Keating, have been retained by Calderwood & Harkness LLP on behalf of
1. I, Dr. Lawrence Keating, have been retained by Calderwood & Harkness LLP on behalf of Plaintiff Optiwave Semiconductor Corp. ("OWS" or "Optiwave") to provide expert opinions on economic damages arising from the infringement by Defendant Lumicore Technologies, Inc. ("Lumicore") of four United States patents: U.S. Patent No. 10,234,847 (the "'847 Patent"), U.S. Patent No. 10,891,193 (the "'193 Patent"), U.S. Patent
2. I have been asked to analyze and quantify the economic damages sustained by OWS as a r
2. I have been asked to analyze and quantify the economic damages sustained by OWS as a result of Lumicore's infringement of the Asserted Patents and to present my opinions regarding the appropriate measure of damages in this case. In conducting my analysis, I have considered the full range of evidence available in this litigation, including the parties' financial data, licensing histories, market information, deposi
3. This report presents three damages theories, each grounded in well-established princip
3. This report presents three damages theories, each grounded in well-established principles of patent damages law and supported by detailed economic analysis: Theory 1: Lost Profits. OWS is entitled to lost-profit damages under the framework established in Panduit Corp. v. Stahlin Bros. Fibre Works, Inc., 575 F.2d 1152 (6th Cir. 1978). OWS and Lumicore are direct competitors in the silicon-photonics transceiver mark
4. Taken together, the total compensatory damages amount to approximately $166.4 million
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4. Taken together, the total compensatory damages amount to approximately $166.4 million (the sum of lost profits and reasonable royalty). With the recommended enhancement for willful infringement, the total damages demand is approximately $210.0 million. Under more aggressive enhancement scenarios, the total damages could be substantially higher, as detailed in Section VII below.
5. All of the opinions expressed in this report are stated to a reasonable degree of econ
5. All of the opinions expressed in this report are stated to a reasonable degree of economic certainty.
6. This report addresses damages through the projected trial date of February 2, 2026. Fo
6. This report addresses damages through the projected trial date of February 2, 2026. For calculation purposes, my damages model runs through the end of the fourth quarter of 2025 (Q4 2025). I reserve the right to update and supplement my calculations as additional data becomes available, including actual accused-product revenue data for FY 2024 and subsequent periods. B. Qualifications of Dr. Lawrence Keating
7. I am currently Managing Director of Meridian Economic Consulting Group, LLC ("Meridian
7. I am currently Managing Director of Meridian Economic Consulting Group, LLC ("Meridian"), an economic consulting firm headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Meridian provides economic analysis, valuation, and expert testimony services in complex commercial litigation, with a particular focus on intellectual property disputes.
8. I hold a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Chicago, with a specialization in i
8. I hold a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Chicago, with a specialization in industrial organization and intellectual property valuation. I also hold a Master of Arts in Economics from the University of Chicago and a Bachelor of Science in Economics, summa cum laude, from the University of Michigan.
9. Over the course of more than twenty years, I have developed extensive expertise in the
9. Over the course of more than twenty years, I have developed extensive expertise in the analysis and quantification of patent damages. My practice focuses on the valuation of intellectual property, the assessment of lost profits and reasonable royalties in patent infringement cases, and the economic analysis of technology markets. I have particular expertise in the semiconductor, photonics, telecommunications, and
10. I have served as a damages expert in more than forty-five patent infringement cases i
10. I have served as a damages expert in more than forty-five patent infringement cases in federal courts across the United States, including multiple cases in the Eastern District of Texas. I have submitted expert reports and provided deposition and trial testimony in matters involving a wide range of technologies and patent portfolios. A representative sample of my prior engagements includes cases in the semiconduc
11. In addition to my consulting practice, I have published extensively in peer-reviewed
11. In addition to my consulting practice, I have published extensively in peer-reviewed academic journals on topics related to intellectual property economics, patent valuation methodology, and technology market analysis. I have served as a guest lecturer at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, Northwestern Pritzker School of Law, and Georgetown University Law Center.
12. My current billing rate for expert services is $875 per hour. The estimated total eng
12. My current billing rate for expert services is $875 per hour. The estimated total engagement budget for my work in this matter is $950,000, which includes the preparation of this initial report, deposition preparation and testimony, rebuttal analysis, and trial preparation and testimony. My compensation is not contingent on the outcome of this litigation or on the substance of my opinions.
13. I was retained by Calderwood & Harkness LLP on behalf of OWS pursuant to a retention
13. I was retained by Calderwood & Harkness LLP on behalf of OWS pursuant to a retention agreement dated August 5, 2024. My full curriculum vitae, including a complete list of publications, presentations, and prior testimony experience, is attached to this report as Exhibit 1. C. Materials Considered
14. In forming my opinions, I have reviewed and considered a substantial body of document
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14. In forming my opinions, I have reviewed and considered a substantial body of documents, data, deposition testimony, expert reports, and other materials. The principal categories of materials I considered include, but are not limited to, the following: (a) The four Asserted Patents ('847, '193, '562, and '015) and their respective prosecution histories before the United States Patent and Trademark Office; (b) The
15. I have also had discussions with counsel for OWS regarding factual and legal issues r
15. I have also had discussions with counsel for OWS regarding factual and legal issues relevant to my analysis. These discussions have informed my understanding of the legal framework applicable to damages in patent infringement cases, but my economic opinions and conclusions are my own.
II. BACKGROUND AND FACTUAL OVERVIEW
II. BACKGROUND AND FACTUAL OVERVIEW A. The Parties
1. Optiwave Semiconductor Corp. (Plaintiff)
1. Optiwave Semiconductor Corp. (Plaintiff)
16. Optiwave Semiconductor Corp. ("OWS" or "Optiwave") is a Delaware corporation headquar
16. Optiwave Semiconductor Corp. ("OWS" or "Optiwave") is a Delaware corporation headquartered at 4810 Bayside Technology Parkway, Suite 300, Santa Clara, California 95054. OWS is a fabless semiconductor company specializing in the design and commercialization of silicon photonics chipsets for data-center interconnects, a rapidly growing segment of the semiconductor and optical networking industries.
17. OWS was founded in 2011 and has grown substantially over the past decade, currently e
17. OWS was founded in 2011 and has grown substantially over the past decade, currently employing approximately 1,250 people across its offices in Santa Clara, California; Austin, Texas; and Shenzhen, China. As a fabless company, OWS designs its integrated circuits in-house and outsources fabrication to leading semiconductor foundries, maintaining established relationships with foundry partners that provide scalable
18. For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023 ("FY 2023"), OWS reported total revenue o
18. For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023 ("FY 2023"), OWS reported total revenue of $487.3 million and net income of $61.4 million, as reflected in its audited financial statements prepared by Gresham & Whitfield LLP. OWS is the third-largest U.S. supplier of silicon-photonics transceiver modules for hyperscale data centers, a market that has experienced rapid and sustained growth driven by the expansion of cl
19. OWS's key product families include the OWS-400ZR, OWS-800XR, and OWS-1600DR transceiv
19. OWS's key product families include the OWS-400ZR, OWS-800XR, and OWS-1600DR transceiver module families. These products are designed to meet the demanding performance, power, and density requirements of hyperscale data-center operators. OWS sells its transceiver modules to leading hyperscale operators, cloud service providers, original equipment manufacturers ("OEMs"), and telecommunications equipment vendors.
20. OWS maintains a substantial patent portfolio, consisting of 142 issued United States
20. OWS maintains a substantial patent portfolio, consisting of 142 issued United States patents and 58 pending patent applications, covering a broad range of innovations in silicon photonics, optical transceiver design, waveguide multiplexing, thermal management, and related technologies. OWS actively manages and enforces its intellectual property portfolio through a combination of internal patent management, licens
21. OWS is majority-owned by Ridgeline Capital Partners, LP, a private equity firm that a
21. OWS is majority-owned by Ridgeline Capital Partners, LP, a private equity firm that acquired a 55% ownership stake in OWS in 2019 for approximately $780 million. Franklin Osei is the Managing Partner of Ridgeline Capital Partners. The remaining equity is held by OWS's management team, employees, and early-stage investors.
22. OWS's current executive leadership includes:
22. OWS's current executive leadership includes: • Dr. Priya Ramaswamy, Chief Executive Officer • Dr. Jian-Wei Huang, Chief Technology Officer • Rebecca Tanaka, General Counsel • Dr. Nikolai Petrov, Vice President of Engineering (Photonics) • David Leitner, Chief Financial Officer
23. OWS maintains a $125 million revolving credit facility with Weston Fidelity Bank, N.A
23. OWS maintains a $125 million revolving credit facility with Weston Fidelity Bank, N.A. as its primary commercial lender.
2. Lumicore Technologies, Inc. (Defendant)
2. Lumicore Technologies, Inc. (Defendant)
24. Lumicore Technologies, Inc. ("Lumicore") is a Delaware corporation headquartered at 9
24. Lumicore Technologies, Inc. ("Lumicore") is a Delaware corporation headquartered at 9200 Spectrum Boulevard, Building C, Austin, Texas 78759. Lumicore is a fast-growing entrant in the silicon-photonics transceiver market, targeting both hyperscale data-center and telecommunications customers.
25. Lumicore was founded in 2015 and has grown rapidly since its founding, currently empl
25. Lumicore was founded in 2015 and has grown rapidly since its founding, currently employing approximately 870 people. For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, Lumicore reported total revenue of approximately $312.6 million in its Annual Report on Form 10-K. Lumicore's revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 45% over the past three fiscal years, driven primarily by its entry into the
26. Lumicore completed an initial public offering on the Nasdaq Stock Market in March 202
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26. Lumicore completed an initial public offering on the Nasdaq Stock Market in March 2022 at an offering price of $24 per share, generating gross proceeds of approximately $552 million. The IPO was managed by Silverstone Capital Markets LLC. At the time the Complaint in this action was filed on April 22, 2024, Lumicore's common stock was trading at approximately $37 per share, with 91.8 million shares outstanding, y
27. Lumicore's current executive leadership includes:
27. Lumicore's current executive leadership includes: • Thomas "Tom" Kessler, Chief Executive Officer • Dr. Sandra Michaud, Chief Technology Officer • Raymond Bautista, General Counsel • Dr. Eric Dalmqvist, Vice President of Product Development • Janet Moreno, Chief Financial Officer
28. Lumicore's financial statements are audited by Brennan Kellogg & Associates LLP.
28. Lumicore's financial statements are audited by Brennan Kellogg & Associates LLP. B. The Asserted Patents
29. OWS asserts four United States utility patents in this litigation. Each of the Assert
29. OWS asserts four United States utility patents in this litigation. Each of the Asserted Patents covers fundamental aspects of high-performance silicon-photonics transceiver module technology. The Asserted Patents are summarized as follows:
30. U.S. Patent No. 10,234,847 (the "'847 Patent") is entitled "Multi-Channel Silicon Pho
30. U.S. Patent No. 10,234,847 (the "'847 Patent") is entitled "Multi-Channel Silicon Photonic Waveguide Multiplexer with Low Insertion Loss." The '847 Patent was filed on September 14, 2016, and issued on March 19, 2019. The '847 Patent was originally assigned to and is currently owned by OWS. The '847 Patent claims innovations in waveguide multiplexer architecture that enable multi-channel silicon photonic devices
31. U.S. Patent No. 10,891,193 (the "'193 Patent") is entitled "High-Bandwidth coherent O
31. U.S. Patent No. 10,891,193 (the "'193 Patent") is entitled "High-Bandwidth coherent Optical Transceiver Integrated on Silicon Substrate." The '193 Patent was filed on April 7, 2017, and issued on January 12, 2021. The '193 Patent was originally assigned to and is currently owned by OWS. The '193 Patent claims innovations in the integration of coherent optical transceiver functions on a single silicon substrate, e
32. U.S. Patent No. 9,678,562 (the "'562 Patent") is entitled "Method for Thermal Managem
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32. U.S. Patent No. 9,678,562 (the "'562 Patent") is entitled "Method for Thermal Management of Photonic Integrated Circuits Using Embedded Micro-Channel Heat Sinks." The '562 Patent was filed on November 22, 2014, and issued on June 13, 2017. The '562 Patent was originally assigned to Solara Optics, Inc. and was acquired by OWS pursuant to an Asset Purchase Agreement dated June 15, 2018, in which OWS acquired a port
33. U.S. Patent No. 11,402,015 (the "'015 Patent") is entitled "Polarization-Diverse Grat
33. U.S. Patent No. 11,402,015 (the "'015 Patent") is entitled "Polarization-Diverse Grating Coupler for Silicon Photonic Transceivers." The '015 Patent was filed on August 30, 2019, and issued on August 2, 2022. The '015 Patent was originally assigned to and is currently owned by OWS. The '015 Patent claims innovations in the design of polarization-diverse grating couplers that enable more efficient optical coupling
34. All four Asserted Patents are utility patents. All maintenance fees for the Asserted
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34. All four Asserted Patents are utility patents. All maintenance fees for the Asserted Patents are current, and no inter partes review petitions have been filed to date with respect to any of the Asserted Patents. The Asserted Patents were prosecuted by Cascade IP Advisors, LLC (Dr. Martin Chu, Lead Prosecution Attorney), 1550 Crystal Drive, Suite 600, Arlington, Virginia 22202. C. The Accused Products and Revenue
35. OWS accuses three Lumicore product lines of infringing one or more of the Asserted Pa
35. OWS accuses three Lumicore product lines of infringing one or more of the Asserted Patents. The accused products and their associated revenue data are summarized below.
36. The LumiLink 400G-ZR+ is a 400-gigabit coherent optical transceiver module designed f
36. The LumiLink 400G-ZR+ is a 400-gigabit coherent optical transceiver module designed for data-center interconnect applications. Lumicore launched the LumiLink 400G-ZR+ in the third quarter of 2022 (Q3 2022). The LumiLink 400G-ZR+ is accused of infringing three of the four Asserted Patents: the '847 Patent, the '193 Patent, and the '562 Patent.
37. According to Lumicore's segment disclosures and financial data produced in discovery,
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37. According to Lumicore's segment disclosures and financial data produced in discovery, the LumiLink 400G-ZR+ generated revenue of $94.8 million in FY 2023. The gross margin on the LumiLink 400G-ZR+ was 52.1%, based on Lumicore's product-level financial data produced in discovery and designated Highly Confidential — Attorneys' Eyes Only.
38. The LumiLink 800G-DR8 is an 800-gigabit parallel optical transceiver module targeting
38. The LumiLink 800G-DR8 is an 800-gigabit parallel optical transceiver module targeting short-reach data-center interconnect applications. Lumicore launched the LumiLink 800G-DR8 in the first quarter of 2023 (Q1 2023). The LumiLink 800G-DR8 is accused of infringing all four of the Asserted Patents: the '847 Patent, the '193 Patent, the '562 Patent, and the '015 Patent.
39. According to Lumicore's segment disclosures and financial data produced in discovery,
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39. According to Lumicore's segment disclosures and financial data produced in discovery, the LumiLink 800G-DR8 generated revenue of $128.4 million in FY 2023. Detailed gross margin data for the LumiLink 800G-DR8 has been produced in discovery and designated Highly Confidential — Attorneys' Eyes Only.
40. The LumiEdge 1600G-LR is a next-generation 1600-gigabit long-reach transceiver module
40. The LumiEdge 1600G-LR is a next-generation 1600-gigabit long-reach transceiver module designed for campus and metro data-center interconnect applications. Lumicore launched the LumiEdge 1600G-LR in the fourth quarter of 2023 (Q4 2023). The LumiEdge 1600G-LR is accused of infringing two of the four Asserted Patents: the '193 Patent and the '015 Patent.
41. According to Lumicore's segment disclosures and financial data produced in discovery,
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41. According to Lumicore's segment disclosures and financial data produced in discovery, the LumiEdge 1600G-LR generated revenue of $41.7 million in FY 2023. The gross margin on the LumiEdge 1600G-LR was 58.3%, based on Lumicore's product-level financial data produced in discovery and designated Highly Confidential — Attorneys' Eyes Only. The higher gross margin on this product reflects its premium positioning and t
4. Aggregate Revenue Calculations
4. Aggregate Revenue Calculations
42. Total accused-product revenue for FY 2023, across all three accused product lines, wa
42. Total accused-product revenue for FY 2023, across all three accused product lines, was $94.8 million + $128.4 million + $41.7 million = $264.9 million. This figure represents approximately 84.7% of Lumicore's total FY 2023 revenue of $312.6 million, demonstrating the centrality of the accused products to Lumicore's overall business.
43. Based on my preliminary analysis of Lumicore's quarterly segment disclosures and fina
43. Based on my preliminary analysis of Lumicore's quarterly segment disclosures and financial data produced in discovery, total accused-product revenue for the period from Q3 2022 (when the first accused product was launched) through Q1 2024 was approximately $378.2 million.
44. I have projected total accused-product revenue from Q3 2022 through Q4 2025, the end
44. I have projected total accused-product revenue from Q3 2022 through Q4 2025, the end of the damages calculation period for this report, at approximately $714.6 million. This projection is based on historical growth trends observed in Lumicore's quarterly disclosures, Lumicore's publicly stated revenue guidance for FY 2024 and FY 2025, customer pipeline data produced in discovery, and industry analyst projections
45. The chronology of events leading to this litigation is relevant to several aspects of
45. The chronology of events leading to this litigation is relevant to several aspects of my damages analysis, including the determination of the hypothetical negotiation date for the reasonable royalty analysis and the assessment of willful infringement for enhanced damages purposes. The key events are as follows:
46. October 2022: OWS's engineering team identified potential infringement of OWS's paten
46. October 2022: OWS's engineering team identified potential infringement of OWS's patents by the LumiLink 400G-ZR+ transceiver module. This identification occurred shortly after Lumicore's initial commercial shipments of the product in Q3 2022.
47. November 2022: OWS retained Benchmark Semiconductor Analysis, LLC, a leading independ
47. November 2022: OWS retained Benchmark Semiconductor Analysis, LLC, a leading independent semiconductor reverse-engineering firm, to perform a detailed teardown and analysis of the LumiLink 400G-ZR+ module. Kevin Ng, Lead Engineer at Benchmark, oversaw the teardown.
48. December 12, 2022: Benchmark delivered its teardown report on the LumiLink 400G-ZR+,
48. December 12, 2022: Benchmark delivered its teardown report on the LumiLink 400G-ZR+, confirming the use of accused waveguide multiplexer structures and embedded micro-channel heat-sink thermal management technology in the Lumicore product. This report provided the technical basis for OWS's initial infringement contentions and was relied upon by Dr. Caroline Ashford in her infringement analysis.
49. January 15, 2023: FairPoint Licensing Group, LLC (Angela Reeves, Managing Director),
49. January 15, 2023: FairPoint Licensing Group, LLC (Angela Reeves, Managing Director), acting on behalf of OWS, sent a detailed licensing and notice letter to Lumicore's General Counsel, Raymond Bautista. The letter identified the '847 Patent, the '193 Patent, and the '562 Patent, described OWS's belief that the LumiLink 400G-ZR+ infringed those patents, and invited Lumicore to negotiate a license. This date—Januar
50. February 28, 2023: Lumicore, through its outside litigation counsel Hawthorne Vega &
50. February 28, 2023: Lumicore, through its outside litigation counsel Hawthorne Vega & Cruz LLP (Kate Rourke), responded to FairPoint's January 15, 2023 letter. Lumicore disputed infringement of the identified patents and questioned the validity of certain claims.
51. April 20, 2023: An in-person licensing meeting was held in Austin, Texas. The meeting
51. April 20, 2023: An in-person licensing meeting was held in Austin, Texas. The meeting was attended by Angela Reeves (FairPoint Licensing Group, LLC), Rebecca Tanaka (OWS General Counsel), Raymond Bautista (Lumicore General Counsel), and Kate Rourke (Hawthorne Vega & Cruz LLP). According to Ms. Reeves's deposition testimony on December 10, 2024, the parties discussed the identified patents, OWS's infringement cont
52. May 15, 2023: FairPoint sent a supplemental licensing letter to Lumicore, adding the
52. May 15, 2023: FairPoint sent a supplemental licensing letter to Lumicore, adding the recently issued '015 Patent to the list of asserted patents and expanding the scope of accused products to include the LumiLink 800G-DR8, which Lumicore had launched in Q1 2023.