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Contract analysis / email-fairchild-to-elliston-appraisal-shortfall.eml
email-fairchild-to-elliston-appraisal-shortfall.eml
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From: Douglas Fairchild <dfairchild@calderwoodharkness.com>
From: Douglas Fairchild <dfairchild@calderwoodharkness.com> To: "Conrad W. Elliston" <celliston@verimarkgroup.com> Cc: Natasha Ricard <nricard@verimarkgroup.com> Date: Sat, 21 Jan 2023 08:47:00 -0000 Subject: Coral Palms Refinancing — Appraisal Results and Immediate Next Steps [C&H Matter No. 1021-00007]
I wanted to reach you first thing this morning regarding an important development on the C
I wanted to reach you first thing this morning regarding an important development on the Coral Palms refinancing. Yesterday afternoon, Pinnacle Atlantic Capital's appraiser — Hargrove & Whitley Valuation Services LLC, with Scott Tremaine, MAI, MRICS, as lead appraiser — delivered its completed appraisal report for the Coral Palms Grand Resort & Spa, 99000 Overseas Highway, Key Largo, Monroe County, Florida. The appra
The concluded market value is **$192,000,000**.
The concluded market value is **$192,000,000**.
This represents a **$43,000,000 shortfall** from VHG's internal projected value of $235,00
This represents a **$43,000,000 shortfall** from VHG's internal projected value of $235,000,000 — approximately 18.3% below your projection. Given the significance of this gap, I did not want to wait until Monday to bring it to your attention.
**Impact on the Proposed $160,000,000 Loan**
**Impact on the Proposed $160,000,000 Loan**
Under the Commitment Letter dated December 9, 2022, the $160,000,000 loan is subject to a
Under the Commitment Letter dated December 9, 2022, the $160,000,000 loan is subject to a maximum loan-to-value ratio of 68.0% and a minimum debt yield of 9.5%. At the appraised value, the numbers break down as follows:
- **LTV at appraised value:** $160,000,000 ÷ $192,000,000 = **83.33%** — this materially e
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⚑ Commercial term
- **LTV at appraised value:** $160,000,000 ÷ $192,000,000 = **83.33%** — this materially exceeds the 68.0% maximum LTV covenant. - **Maximum supportable loan amount at 68% LTV:** $192,000,000 × 68.0% = **$130,560,000** — a reduction of $29,440,000 from the proposed loan amount. - **Debt yield:** $18,400,000 NOI ÷ $160,000,000 = **11.50%** — this still clears the 9.5% minimum debt yield threshold (debt yield being ind
In short, the loan at $160,000,000 simply cannot close at the appraised value under the cu
In short, the loan at $160,000,000 simply cannot close at the appraised value under the current commitment terms.
I expect PAC will come back to VHG with restructured or repriced terms in the near term. B
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⚑ Commercial term
I expect PAC will come back to VHG with restructured or repriced terms in the near term. Based on our experience with similar situations, we should anticipate some combination of the following:
- A significant reduction in loan amount, possibly to or near the $130,560,000 maximum at
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⚑ Commercial term
- A significant reduction in loan amount, possibly to or near the $130,560,000 maximum at 68% LTV, though PAC may stretch somewhat above that figure if VHG agrees to additional credit enhancements. - An increase in the interest rate from the original 5.35% fixed rate, reflecting increased perceived risk at a higher relative leverage point. - A potential demand for additional collateral, including cross-collateralizat
I want to be candid about the downstream impact. As you will recall, the original net cash
I want to be candid about the downstream impact. As you will recall, the original net cash-out to VHG was estimated at approximately $32,265,000 — based on $160,000,000 in loan proceeds less the $118,500,000 Tidewater payoff, the $1,185,000 prepayment premium, approximately $3,250,000 in estimated closing costs, and $4,800,000 in upfront reserves. A loan sized at $130,560,000 would not even provide sufficient proceed
**Preliminary Assessment of the Appraisal**
**Preliminary Assessment of the Appraisal**
Grace Nakamura and the team are already conducting an initial review of the appraisal repo
Grace Nakamura and the team are already conducting an initial review of the appraisal report and its methodology. On a preliminary basis, the appraisal appears to have applied a more conservative capitalization rate and selected comparable sales that may not fully reflect the Coral Palms property's market positioning following the comprehensive $47,000,000 renovation completed in August 2021.
The property's trailing 12-month operating performance — occupancy of 71.3%, ADR of $389,
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⚑ Commercial term
The property's trailing 12-month operating performance — occupancy of 71.3%, ADR of $389, RevPAR of $277.36, total revenue of approximately $62.8 million, and NOI of approximately $18.4 million for the T-12 ending September 30, 2022 — should, in our view, support a higher valuation, though we defer to valuation professionals on that point. This is a 342-room full-service luxury oceanfront resort with significant amen
1. **Retain an independent appraisal review consultant.** I strongly recommend that VHG pr
1. **Retain an independent appraisal review consultant.** I strongly recommend that VHG promptly engage a qualified valuation advisory firm to independently review the Hargrove & Whitley report, identify potential weaknesses in methodology, comparable selections, and assumptions, and prepare a written rebuttal or critique. This will be essential if VHG wishes to challenge the appraisal or request that PAC commission
2. **Schedule an internal strategy call early next week.** I recommend we convene a call —
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⚑ Commercial term
2. **Schedule an internal strategy call early next week.** I recommend we convene a call — Conrad, Natasha, Derek, Angela, Grace, and myself — to discuss VHG's full range of options, including: (a) challenging the appraisal and requesting PAC reconsider or commission a second opinion of value; (b) negotiating any repriced terms PAC may propose; (c) evaluating alternative refinancing sources if PAC's revised terms bec
3. **Deposit exposure.** I want to remind the team that VHG currently has $2,400,000 in de
3. **Deposit exposure.** I want to remind the team that VHG currently has $2,400,000 in deposits held by Meridian Title & Escrow, Inc. — the $1,600,000 good faith deposit wired on December 12, 2022, and the $800,000 rate lock deposit wired on January 5, 2023. The refundability of these deposits under the Commitment Letter and the side letter will be a critical consideration in any decision about how to proceed. We wi
4. **Preserve VHG's rights under the Commitment Letter.** We will carefully review the Com
4. **Preserve VHG's rights under the Commitment Letter.** We will carefully review the Commitment Letter provisions regarding the appraisal condition, material adverse change, and borrower's rights in the event of a valuation shortfall. I want to make certain that VHG's contractual position is fully preserved while we evaluate the path forward.
Conrad, I am confident that the team will navigate this carefully and that there are viabl
Conrad, I am confident that the team will navigate this carefully and that there are viable paths forward — but I want to be straightforward with you that this shortfall is substantial and will materially alter the economics of the transaction as originally contemplated. We will have a much clearer picture once we complete our detailed review of the appraisal methodology and assess the strength of any challenge.
I understand Derek received the appraisal report directly from PAC's team yesterday. We ar
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⚑ Confidentiality undertaking
I understand Derek received the appraisal report directly from PAC's team yesterday. We are reviewing it under the lender's confidentiality restrictions and will circulate a more detailed internal appraisal review memorandum early next week, ahead of or concurrent with our strategy call.
Please do not hesitate to call me over the weekend if you would like to discuss any of thi
Please do not hesitate to call me over the weekend if you would like to discuss any of this further. I am available on my mobile at (305) 555-0194.
Douglas Fairchild
Douglas Fairchild Partner Calderwood & Harkness LLP 100 Southeast Second Street, Suite 3800 Miami, FL 33131 T: (305) 555-0100 M: (305) 555-0194 E: dfairchild@calderwoodharkness.com
CONFIDENTIALITY NOTICE: This email and any attachments are intended solely for the use of
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⚑ Forum / governing law
CONFIDENTIALITY NOTICE: This email and any attachments are intended solely for the use of the individual or entity to whom it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential, and exempt from disclosure under applicable law, including attorney-client privileged communications and attorney work product. If you are not the intended recipient, or the employee or agent responsible for delivering