FR EA
1025-00005 · Quorum Insurance Holdings · Case Assessment
damages-exposure-summary.xlsx DOCUMENT Litigation
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Contract analysis Extract to table

[sheet: Cover]

FieldValue
Document TitleDamages & Exposure Summary — Best Case / Likely / Worst Case Analysis
MatterQuorum Insurance Holdings Corp. — Pre-Suit Reinsurance Recoverable Dispute
Matter Number1025-00005
Treaty No.PA-QCS-2019-EXL-0044
ClientQuorum Insurance Holdings Corp. (Nasdaq: QIHC)
CedentQuorum Casualty & Surety Company (NAIC No. 24891)
CounterpartyPinnacle Atlantic Reinsurance Ltd.
Opposing CounselHargrove, Fitch & Calloway LLP (Nathaniel R. Calloway III)
Prepared ByJeffrey Park, Senior Associate; Yuki Nakamura, Associate
Reviewed ByDouglas Carmichael, Responsible Partner; Francesca Morano, Billing Partner
DateMarch 14, 2026
ClassificationPRIVILEGED AND CONFIDENTIAL — ATTORNEY-CLIENT COMMUNICATION / ATTORNEY WORK PRODUCT
FirmCalderwood & Harkness LLP, One Liberty Plaza, 55th Floor, New York, NY 10006

[sheet: Dispute Summary]

ItemDescriptionAmountTreaty ArticleNotes
Dispute Ground 1 — Late Notice (Meridian Docks)Alleged failure to provide timely notice of 31 CGL bodily injury claims (Meridian Docks mass tort cluster); QC&S first reserved March 15, 2021; notice given May 22, 2022 via Broadreach (14 months, 7 days delay). Pinnacle Atlantic argues Article 7 violation.Article 7QC&S defense: claims below individual $1M reporting threshold until Q1 2022 reserve increases; NY prejudice-based late-notice standard applies; burden on Pinnacle Atlantic to show actual prejudice
Dispute Ground 2 — IBNR MisallocationPinnacle Atlantic alleges $22.3M in IBNR reserve strengthening improperly allocated to TY 2022 (should be TY 2021)$22,300,000Article 5If reallocated: TY 2022 ceded drops from $69.7M to $47.4M; TY 2021 would rise to $126.9M but was not disputed by Pinnacle Atlantic
Dispute Ground 3 — Follow-the-Fortunes / Veridian E&O SettlementChallenge to Veridian Financial Services E&O cluster settlement of $34.5M (Claim A: $14.2M, Claim B: $12.8M, Claim C: $7.5M); Pinnacle Atlantic alleges lack of good faith / businesslike conduct$34,500,000Article 11QC&S net retained after other reinsurance: $26.1M; $8.7M ceded to Treaty (full TY 2023 cession)
Dispute Ground 4 — Premium UnderreportingQC&S reported ceded earned premium of $38.4M for TY 2022; Pinnacle Atlantic calculates $45.2M (difference of $6.8M); alleged premium underpayment of $2,856,000 (at 42% provisional rate)$2,856,000Article 3QC&S defense: difference from improper inclusion of run-off portfolio transfer premiums excluded under Article 3.4
Total Disputed Reinsurance RecoverableTY 2022 ceded loss ($69.7M) + TY 2023 ceded loss ($8.7M)$78,400,000$69,700,000 + $8,700,000 = $78,400,000
Interest Claimed by Pinnacle AtlanticApprox. 8% per annum on $78.4M, average 24 months from payment dates$12,600,000Calculated from dates of seven billing installments (Oct 2022 – Mar 2024) to demand date (Feb 14, 2026)
Total Pinnacle Atlantic DemandReinsurance recoverable return plus accrued interest$91,000,000$78,400,000 + $12,600,000 = $91,000,000
Veridian Settlement Breakdown — Claim AVeridian Financial Services Inc. — E&O Claim A$14,200,000Article 11Policy No. PL-2021-15327; settled September 8, 2023
Veridian Settlement Breakdown — Claim BVeridian Financial Services Inc. — E&O Claim B$12,800,000Article 11Policy No. PL-2021-15327; settled September 8, 2023
Veridian Settlement Breakdown — Claim CVeridian Financial Services Inc. — E&O Claim C$7,500,000Article 11Policy No. PL-2021-15327; settled September 8, 2023

[sheet: Cession Breakdown]

Treaty YearPeriodAggregate Net Incurred Loss — QC&S ReportedTreaty RetentionCeded Loss — QC&S ClaimIBNR Adjustment (Pinnacle Atlantic Position)Adjusted Aggregate Net IncurredAdjusted Ceded LossReduction in Ceded Loss
TY 2021Jul 1, 2021 – Jun 30, 2022$104,600,000$120,000,000$0+$22,300,000$126,900,000$6,900,000N/A — TY 2021 not in dispute (Pinnacle Atlantic did not seek recovery for TY 2021)
TY 2022Jul 1, 2022 – Jun 30, 2023$189,700,000$120,000,000$69,700,000-$22,300,000$167,400,000$47,400,000$22,300,000
TY 2023Jul 1, 2023 – Jun 30, 2024$128,700,000$120,000,000$8,700,000$0$128,700,000$8,700,000$0
TOTAL$423,000,000$78,400,000$423,000,000$63,000,000$22,300,000

[sheet: Billing Installments]

Installment No.Treaty YearInvoice DatePayment DateAmount PaidDays to Demand (Feb 14, 2026)Interest at 8% p.a.
1TY 20222022-10-152022-11-01$15,000,0001201$3,945,205
2TY 20222023-01-152023-02-01$12,500,0001109$3,035,616
3TY 20222023-04-152023-05-01$11,200,0001020$2,501,918
4TY 20222023-07-152023-08-01$10,000,000928$2,032,877
5TY 20222023-10-152023-11-01$21,000,000836$3,844,274
6TY 20232024-01-152024-02-01$5,500,000744$896,438
7TY 20232024-03-292024-04-15$3,200,000671$470,268
TOTAL$78,400,000$16,726,596

[sheet: Scenario Analysis]

Line ItemBest CaseLikely CaseWorst CaseNotes
SCENARIO DESCRIPTIONFull defense of all cessions; no liability to Pinnacle AtlanticPartial concession on IBNR allocation (Ground 2); all other grounds defended successfullyFull disgorgement of reinsurance recoverable plus interest (all four grounds lost)

--- Exposure Components ---

Late Notice (Ground 1) — Liability$0$0$69,700,000Best/Likely: QC&S prevails on prejudice-based late-notice defense under NY law; Worst: full TY 2022 cession voided
IBNR Misallocation (Ground 2) — Liability$0$22,300,000$22,300,000Best: Velthorn methodology upheld; Likely: reallocation accepted, TY 2022 ceded reduced by $22.3M; Worst: included in full disgorgement
Follow-the-Fortunes / Veridian (Ground 3) — Liability$0$0$8,700,000Best/Likely: follow-the-fortunes doctrine protects cedent; Worst: full TY 2023 cession voided
Premium Underreporting Offset (Ground 4)$0$0$2,856,000Best/Likely: Article 3.4 exclusion applies; Worst: offset applied (but not additive to recoverable disgorgement; reduces QC&S counter-position)
Subtotal — Recoverable Disgorgement$0$22,300,000$78,400,000Sum of Grounds 1–3 liability; Ground 4 is offset, not additional recoverable
Interest on Disgorged Amounts (8% p.a.)$0$3,600,000$12,600,000Best: no interest; Likely: ~8% on $22.3M for ~24 months avg; Worst: full $12.6M per demand
Subtotal — Direct Financial Exposure$0$25,900,000$91,000,000Recoverable disgorgement + interest
Premium Underreporting — Additional Offset$0$0$2,856,000Potential separate obligation if Ground 4 proven; may be set off against future obligations
Estimated Litigation/Arbitration Costs (C&H fees)$450,000$2,400,000$4,800,000Best: Phase 1 only; Likely: through settlement post-discovery; Worst: full trial/hearing
Estimated Counterparty Legal Fee Recovery Risk$0$0$0NY law: each party bears own costs absent contract provision; Treaty silent on fee-shifting
TOTAL ESTIMATED EXPOSURE (incl. legal fees)$450,000$28,300,000$95,800,000Direct exposure + legal fees
Estimated Probability25%50%25%Based on C&H preliminary assessment of merits
Probability-Weighted Exposure$112,500$14,150,000$23,950,000Scenario exposure × probability
EXPECTED VALUE OF TOTAL EXPOSURE$38,212,500Sum of probability-weighted exposures: $112,500 + $14,150,000 + $23,950,000 = $38,212,500

[sheet: Statutory Surplus Impact]

Line ItemCurrentBest CaseLikely CaseWorst CaseNotes
QC&S Statutory Surplus (Dec 31, 2025)$1,420,000,000$1,420,000,000$1,420,000,000$1,420,000,000Per QC&S Schedule F, Part 3
Reinsurance Recoverable Write-Down$0$0($22,300,000)($78,400,000)Reduction in booked recoverable
Interest / Disgorgement Payment$0$0($3,600,000)($12,600,000)Cash outflow for interest on disgorged amounts
QC&S Adjusted Statutory Surplus$1,420,000,000$1,420,000,000$1,394,100,000$1,329,000,000Surplus − Write-Down − Interest
Minimum Statutory Surplus Covenant (Cartwright Credit Agreement)$1,100,000,000$1,100,000,000$1,100,000,000$1,100,000,000Per QIH $750M revolving credit facility (maturing June 2028)
Surplus Headroom Above Covenant$320,000,000$320,000,000$294,100,000$229,000,000Adjusted Surplus − Covenant Minimum
Headroom as % of Covenant Minimum29.1%29.1%26.7%20.8%Headroom / $1,100,000,000
Covenant ComplianceYesYesYesYes — but significantly tightenedSurplus remains above $1.1B in all scenarios
Headroom Reduction from Current$0$0$25,900,000$91,000,000Current headroom ($320M) − Scenario headroom
Headroom Reduction %0%0%8.1%28.4%Headroom reduction / Current headroom ($320M)
A.M. Ridgeway Rating RiskNoneNoneLow — monitorModerate — potential negative outlookCurrent rating: A (Excellent), Stable outlook
Revolving Credit Facility Size$750,000,000$750,000,000$750,000,000$750,000,000Cartwright National Bank, N.A., administrative agent (Andrew Bao)