FR EA
1018-00009 · Client 1018 · Economic Analysis
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[sheet: Summary]

ItemDetail
ClientPenterra Pharmaceuticals Corp. (PPC)
CSA CounterpartyPenterra Biopharma International DAC (PBI)
CSA Effective DateJuly 1, 2012
PCT Payment$312,000,000
Tax Years Analyzed2017, 2018, 2019, 2020
Products CoveredVeritaxol (oncology), Imvara (immunology), Cerulon (rare disease)
Americas TerritoryNorth America, Central America, South America, Caribbean (PPC)
Non-Americas TerritoryEMEA, APAC — 68 country markets (PBI)
Prepared ByGarrett Simmons, Calderwood & Harkness LLP, in coordination with Whitmore Valuation Group LLC
C&H Matter No.1018-00009
Lead EconomistDr. Helena Vasquez, Managing Director, Whitmore Valuation Group LLC
Supporting EconomistDr. Rohan Chakrabarti, Senior Director, Whitmore Valuation Group LLC
PurposeModel actual and projected revenue splits by territory to derive PBI's share of reasonably anticipated benefits (RAB) under the qualified cost-sharing arrangement, per Treas. Reg. § 1.482-7
Regulatory BasisIRC § 482; Treas. Reg. § 1.482-7 (Qualified Cost-Sharing Arrangements); Treas. Reg. § 1.482-1(d) (Arm's-Length Standard)
PPC FY 2020 Total Revenue$6,820,000,000
PBI FY 2020 Revenue€2,140,000,000
Total IRS Proposed Adjustment (Net)$380,400,000
Settlement Amount$47,600,000
Total Cash Cost to PPC$12,840,000
Savings vs. IRS Proposed Position$83,020,000 (86.6%)

[sheet: Veritaxol Revenue]

Tax YearGlobal Net Sales — Actual ($M)Americas Net Sales — Actual ($M)Non-Americas Net Sales — Actual ($M)Americas % of Global (%)Non-Americas % of Global (%)Global Net Sales — Projected ($M)Americas Net Sales — Projected ($M)Non-Americas Net Sales — Projected ($M)Americas % Projected (%)Non-Americas % Projected (%)Variance: Actual vs. Projected — Global ($M)Variance: Actual vs. Projected — Non-Americas ($M)Notes
201724801438.41041.658.0%42.0%24201404101658.0%42.0%6025.6Veritaxol primary growth driver in non-Americas; oncology blockbuster
201827101560115057.6%42.4%26501535111557.9%42.1%6035Continued EU/APAC launch ramp
201929201672124857.3%42.7%28701650122057.5%42.5%5028New APAC market entries
202031201780134057.1%42.9%30501750130057.4%42.6%7040COVID-19 impact modestly below projection in Americas; non-Americas exceeded
Total112306450.44779.657.4%42.6%109906339465157.7%42.3%240128.6

[sheet: Imvara Revenue]

Tax YearGlobal Net Sales — Actual ($M)Americas Net Sales — Actual ($M)Non-Americas Net Sales — Actual ($M)Americas % of Global (%)Non-Americas % of Global (%)Global Net Sales — Projected ($M)Americas Net Sales — Projected ($M)Non-Americas Net Sales — Projected ($M)Americas % Projected (%)Non-Americas % Projected (%)Variance: Actual vs. Projected — Global ($M)Variance: Actual vs. Projected — Non-Americas ($M)Notes
2017132079252860.0%40.0%128077550560.5%39.5%4023Immunology franchise expansion
2018148088060059.5%40.5%145087058060.0%40.0%3020Strong EMEA uptake
2019169099070058.6%41.4%166098068059.0%41.0%3020Expanded indications driving non-Americas growth
20201870108079057.8%42.2%1830106077057.9%42.1%4020~42% of global from non-Americas
Total63603742261858.8%41.2%62203685253559.2%40.8%14083

[sheet: Cerulon Revenue]

Tax YearGlobal Net Sales — Actual ($M)Americas Net Sales — Actual ($M)Non-Americas Net Sales — Actual ($M)Americas % of Global (%)Non-Americas % of Global (%)Global Net Sales — Projected ($M)Americas Net Sales — Projected ($M)Non-Americas Net Sales — Projected ($M)Americas % Projected (%)Non-Americas % Projected (%)Variance: Actual vs. Projected — Global ($M)Variance: Actual vs. Projected — Non-Americas ($M)Notes
201741023018056.1%43.9%39022216856.9%43.1%2012Rare disease — smaller base, higher non-Americas share
201847026320755.9%44.1%45025419656.4%43.6%2011Orphan drug pricing in EU markets
201954030323756.1%43.9%52029322756.3%43.7%2010APAC regulatory approvals
202062034028054.8%45.2%60033226855.3%44.7%2012~45% of global from non-Americas
Total2040113690455.7%44.3%1960110185956.2%43.8%8045

[sheet: Consolidated Revenue]

Tax YearGlobal Net Sales — Actual ($M)Americas Net Sales — Actual ($M)Non-Americas Net Sales — Actual ($M)Americas % of Global (%)Non-Americas % of Global (%)Global Net Sales — Projected ($M)Americas Net Sales — Projected ($M)Non-Americas Net Sales — Projected ($M)Americas % Projected (%)Non-Americas % Projected (%)Notes
201742102460.41749.658.4%41.6%40902401168958.7%41.3%Sum of Veritaxol + Imvara + Cerulon
201846602703195758.0%42.0%45502659189158.4%41.6%
201951502965218557.6%42.4%50502923212757.9%42.1%
202056103200241057.0%43.0%54803142233857.3%42.7%Non-Americas share growing year-over-year
Total1963011328.48301.657.7%42.3%1917011125804558.1%41.9%

[sheet: RAB Calculation]

Tax YearNon-Americas % of Projected Global Revenue (PPC Position) (%)PBI Cost-Share % (PPC Position) (%)Total Qualified R&D Costs ($M)PBI Cost-Share Amount (PPC Position) ($M)PPC Cost-Share Amount (PPC Position) ($M)Non-Americas % (IRS Position) (%)PBI Cost-Share % (IRS Position) (%)PBI Cost-Share Amount (IRS Position) ($M)Additional Cost-Share Under IRS Position ($M)Difference in Cost-Share % (pp)Notes
201741.3%38.2%487.3186.15301.1548.2%48.2%234.8848.73+10.0ppIRS asserts U.S.-source value understated; RAB projections should yield higher PBI share
201841.6%39.6%523.8207.42316.3850.6%50.6%265.0457.62+11.0pp
201942.1%41.1%561.2230.65330.5552.3%52.3%293.5162.86+11.2pp
202042.7%42.7%598.4255.52342.8853.7%53.7%321.3465.82+11.0pp
Total2170.7879.741290.961114.77235.03Total additional CSA cost-share proposed by IRS: $235.03M